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Onward, Robot Soldiers?

I’ve written multiple times about basic values, technology trends, and how they can be causes of unintended consequences.

Today I’m exploring the topic of autonomous weapons, reasons behind their development, and potential outcomes. This is a big topic that I will certainly return to multiple times.

Autonomous weapons are characterized by understanding battlefield goals and finding ways to achieve these goals without human action. Such weapons are currently being researched, developed, and tested as intelligent wingmen for fighter pilots, as support vehicles carrying supplies and fuel, and as offensive weapons. Continue reading “Onward, Robot Soldiers?”

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The Cobra Effect (Part 2)

When I started this project to learn about unintended consequences, my first post to go viral (top page of Hacker News) was about the Cobra Effect. The Cobra Effect is another name for “perverse results,” or how when we want more (or less) of something, we sometimes instead create the conditions that produce the opposite of our intended outcomes. In that post I took three well-known examples of the cobra effect and invented antidotes for them.

Those well-known Cobra Effect examples all involved animals (cobras, rats, and pigs) and so my antidotes were based around the animals’ reproductive cycles. I made the claim that those animal examples had the solution built into the problem. Readers loved it (creative look at an old topic!) and readers hated it (you can’t stop the Cobra Effect!).

Since the Cobra Effect is a type of unintended consequence that keeps coming up, I decided to write part two. Continue reading “The Cobra Effect (Part 2)”

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Destructive Collection (How We Destroy Things)

Some destruction is accidental. Some is intentional. Destruction works in different ways. And for different reasons.

These are types of destruction I’ve cataloged. I arranged this list according to what each type of destruction means, methods to achieve, first-order effects, second-order effects, and examples.

(Reminder: first-order effects are the direct, commonly noticeable changes. Second-order effects are the effects of the effects and often not obvious.)

Note that there is a lot of overlap between categories. I didn’t attempt a mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive list. That just felt unrepresentative of the messiness of life. 

This is a destructive collection that I hope will change the way you think. Continue reading “Destructive Collection (How We Destroy Things)”

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Under a Spell – The Armistice at 100

In under a week it will be the 100th anniversary of the armistice that ended hostilities during World War I. While WWI is distant enough in the past to no longer be a constant comparison to the present, those years of conflict still echo today. The war was a relatively short period when many things changed.

Thousands of others have already written at length about the first modern war and its consequences. These works fill entire libraries. Instead, here I look at what enduring technologies and strategies WWI gave opportunity to arise.

Continue reading “Under a Spell – The Armistice at 100”